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Saturday, January 23, 2021

Denbury Resources Inc. (NYSE:DNR) Jumps Higher on Oil News

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Denbury Resources Inc. (NYSE:DNR) is getting a big boost by OPEC’s decision this week to curtail oil production. Oil and gas stocks could be poised for a recovery in the near term. Texas-based Denbury Resources Inc. (NYSE: DNR), an independent oil and natural gas company with operations focused on two key regions: the Gulf Coast and the Rocky Mountains looks to tag along. As of November 30, shares of DNR were down 39.01 percent from their level on April 27, but traders are finally starting to see a turnaround picture emerging after such a steep fall.

Shares of DNR are currently trading at $3.99, giving the company a current market cap of $2.14 billion. Shares of DNR have most recently traded in a wide range of $2.80 – $4.11. Over the most recent 52-week period, shares of DNR have traded as low as $0.86 and as high as $4.80. Large institutions own 94 percent of the total shares of the company.

Denbury Resources Inc. (NYSE:DNR) is still trying to shake off a disappointing 3Q 2016 earnings report, when it reported a net loss of $25 million on revenue of $246 million. At the time, the company’s management pointed out that the company actually reported slightly positive adjusted net income as well as positive cash flow. The company cited an unexpected turndown in 3Q production due to unexpected downtime at multiple fields. Approximately half of the downtime was due to damage and flooding at two fields in the Houston area.

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Going forward, the company has set several key financial priorities to optimize the business: reduce costs, preserve cash and liquidity and reduce leverage. That will continue to improve cash flow and place the company in a healthier operating position until oil prices recover to a higher level. With oil prices in the low $40s, the company needs to focus on rationalizing and optimizing the business.

Going forward, Denbury Resources will next report earnings on February 16. The consensus forecast is a loss of $0.03 per share on total revenue of $237.58 million. That’s not much of an improvement, if any, on the latest quarter, so Wall Street analysts have not made much of a move to upgrade the stock.

Most recently, on October 6, Mizuho initiated coverage of DNR with a “neutral” rating and a $3.00 price target. On October 2, UBS issued a “sell” recommendation. On September 8, Credit Suisse downgraded DNR to “underperform.” And on August 10, Barclays Capital downgraded DNR to “underweight” with a price target of only $2.50.

Right now, the consensus analyst price target for the stock is $3.00, with the highest estimate set at $5.00. That’s not entirely encouraging, given the company’s current share price of $3.99 and the lack of enthusiastic Wall Street coverage of the stock.

The one element of the DNR story that investors may be missing, however, is that Denbury Resources is focused on a specific aspect of enhanced oil recovery known as carbon dioxide enhanced oil recovery (CO2 EOR). What this means is that the company is focused on tapping tertiary oil reserves, not primary or secondary reserves.

The company targets regions where it has a huge advantage due to ownership or use of CO2 reserves, oil fields that are ripe for CO2 EOR extraction and CO2 infrastructure. Within each of its two core operating regions – Gulf Coast (Mississippi, Texas, Louisiana, Alabama) and Rocky Mountains (Montana, North Dakota, Wyoming) – Denbury Resources has extensive expertise, a huge pipeline network and significant CO2 infrastructure that makes it possible to extract oil where other companies cannot.

Going forward, a lot will depend on the price of oil obviously. With oil in the low $40s, Denbury will have a difficult time squeezing even more costs and savings from its existing operations. But as the price of oil rises, more fields will become operational, and the price hike will eventually impact the company’s bottom line. And that could be good news for the company’s stock price as we head into 2017. For more news on Denbury Resources (NYSE:DNR) and other fast-moving penny stocks, please subscribe to OracleDispatch.com now.

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